Craig Eisele on …..

June 5, 2010

EGYPT LOSING CONTROL OF NILE RIVER WATERS

Filed under: Uncategorized — Mr. Craig @ 10:59 pm

Egypt, Sudan lock horns with

lower Africa over control of

Nile River

Nairobi, Kenya – A war of words over control of the Nile has broken out between Egypt, which sees the river as its lifeblood, and countries upstream complaining they are denied a fair share of the river’s water.

Presidents and officials from half a dozen countries have been crisscrossing Africa holding talks in the latest escalation of a decades-old dispute.

At its heart lies a 1929 accord, signed during Britain’s colonial rule in Africa, which gives Egypt and Sudan rights over all the water in the world’s longest river.

The Nile Waters Agreement, which still holds today, guarantees Egypt 55.5 billion cubic meters of the Nile’s 84 billion total flow. Sudan gets the rest.

But the remotest headstream of the Nile rises 4,145 miles to the south, in Burundi’s Ruvyironza River.

Its myriad tributaries drain a basin the size of the Amazon rainforest across 10 countries – the Democratic Republic of Congo, Tanzania, Burundi, Rwanda, Uganda, Kenya, Ethiopia, Eritrea, Sudan, and Egypt. Under the deal, and another reaffirming its principles in 1959, those last two have final say on projects affecting the Nile’s flow. None of the others may tap into the river’s bounty – for irrigation, for example – unless Cairo and Khartoum agree, and without that, upstream nations have struggled to access international finance to fund such projects.

“No donor or bank is going to agree to give money for a dam or an irrigation scheme if they know it’s illegal in international law and does not have the backing of all the Nile nations, especially Egypt,” says Salif Diop, an expert in international water conflicts at the United Nations Environment Program in Nairobi.

‘Upstream’ Africa wants to rewrite water rulesNow, the “upstream” nations, facing droughts and booming water demand, appear to have run out of patience. In late May, in Uganda’s capital, Kampala, five of them inked a new Comprehensive Framework Agreement effectively setting the ball rolling to rip up the rule book.

Egypt, and Sudan have so far refused to sign up and the go-it-alone pact has strained Nile nations’ relations. Cairo went on a diplomatic offensive.

Kenya’s prime minister, Raila Odinga, flew in for talks with his Egyptian counterpart, Ahmed Nazif. Congo’s president, Joseph Kabila, at the same time met with Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak. Burundi’s leader, Pierre Nkurunziza, is soon expected to follow suit.

Cairo sees protecting its control over the Nile – which provides 95 percent of Egypt’s water supplies – as a matter of national security. It is impossible to say how much water they would lose if dams and irrigation schemes starting blocking the Nile farther upstream, because that depends on the number and scale. Any interruption of its flow will, however, affect a huge proportion of its 85 million citizens, and the ribbon of industrial agriculture hugging the banks of the Nile as it snakes through Egypt’s center.

‘All faced with climate change’But at least 200 million people farther south live across the Nile’s total basin – a population that is expected to double within 50 years.

“Everyone knows we are all faced with the realities of climate change,” said Stanislas Kamanzi, Rwanda’s minister for environment and lands. “Rwanda is one of the most vulnerable countries, 80 percent of our agriculture relies on rain-fed irrigation, and we can no longer predict that we will receive regular rainfall, so we can’t predict our crop production. We need to use the resources in our waterways and lakes, and these are clearly in the Nile Basin.”

Rwanda, Uganda, and Ethiopia, whose economies are expanding as memories of civil conflict a decade ago fade and investors flock in, are all keen to exploit opportunities for commercial farming. But that needs water, and still the rivers that lead to the Nile, or the lakes that feed it, are the best source of untapped irrigation.

“This is what worries Egypt, especially in the case of Ethiopia,” says Ashok Swain, an expert at the University of Uppsala in Sweden on the Nile Waters Agreement.

‘China factor’ crucialFour-fifths of the water in the River Nile flows from the Ethiopian highlands into the Blue Nile, which joins with the relatively meager White Nile at Khartoum in Sudan. “Ethiopia knows it has the lion’s share of the water that ends up in the Nile,” Professor Swain says. “It has shown recently that it is not prepared to wait for basin-wide agreements to go ahead with large scale projects. What’s changed to give them that confidence? China.”

The “China factor” has been a crucial development which may soon force a final agreement. “Egypt, in their hearts, have always known that they are in a difficult position,” says Swain. “But in the past they have been able to fall back on the influence they have had with the West to maintain the status quo. China listens less to that kind of diplomacy.”

Beijing is already heavily invested in major infrastructure projects in Ethiopia – including a hydroelectric dam across one of the tributaries of the Blue Nile.

Egypt has acquiesced to this dam – and others like it in Uganda and Sudan – because hydroelectric schemes at least return the water into the Nile system. Not so irrigation projects.

“Egypt will delay as long as it can, but it cannot reasonably maintain [its historic] position for much longer,” says Swain.

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6 Comments »

  1. [...] headstream of the Nile rises 4145 miles to the south, in Burundi’s … View post: EGYPT LOSING CONTROL OF NILE RIVER WATERS « Craig Eisele on ….. Share and [...]

    Pingback by EGYPT LOSING CONTROL OF NILE RIVER WATERS « Craig Eisele on ….. | burundi today — June 6, 2010 @ 4:12 am

  2. The regime in Ethiopia committed a collosal and arogant blunder when it built a dam along the Nile river without consulting both Egypt and Sudan. When the World Bank and many other international banking institutions have refused to fund the construction of dams in Ethiopia citing the Egypt-Sudan treaty and international laws, it was an Italian company run by Mafias that took the contract worth $2.3 billion dollars and built the new dam along the Nile River. To add insult to an injury, the arrogant regime in Ethiopia commemorated the dam on the day the controversial agreement was signed in Uganda that Egypt and Sudan have both rejected. It is such blunder that has infuriated Egyptian government officials to make bold threats of millitary action against the regime in Ethiopia to protect their bloodlife.

    Don’t be surprised if Egypt decides to invade and occupy Ethiopia to stop the construction of new dams and to destroy the existing ones. And when it does, the international community will not condemn Egypt for the same reason it did not condemn Ethiopia when it invaded and occupied Somalia in 2005.

    Psalm 68:31
    “Envoys will come from Egypt. Ethiopia will stretch out its hands to God.”

    Salaam from Cairo, Egypt.

    Comment by Anwar El Sadat — June 6, 2010 @ 8:13 am

  3. Psalm 68:31
    “Envoys will come from Egypt. Ethiopia will stretch out its hands to God.”

    Comment by Anwar El Sadat — June 6, 2010 @ 8:14 am

  4. Ethiopia is a powerful country in history and now.they have never been colonised in history.it is a militant country.in 2006 they colonised the whole somalia in 3days.if they colonise egypt and arab country in one week is not suprising!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    Comment by emad mena — June 21, 2010 @ 7:03 pm

  5. I don’t there will be problem in water flow to egypt. The problem is the chaos of some selfish and jealous people in Egypt, like Anwar El Sadat above. All these people have haterd to the poor people of Ethiopia and they always compare their development against nations at the South. On the contrary both Ethiopian government and the people always consider developments with out affecting innocent people in Egypt. We know we have both the right and capacity to do any thing we want over our water, the Nile. It is in the hands of our will. But we don’t have the moral to hurt others and we know that doesn’t help us in any way. Egyptians, pls listen to your government and don’t assume others as yours.

    Comment by Markos — August 13, 2010 @ 1:39 am

  6. SELFISHNESS WILL ALWAYS RETARD AFRICA’S DEVELOPMENT, WHIAT IS WRONG WITH SHARING RIVER NILE BETWEEN UGANDA, KENYA, TANZANIA, SUDAN, ETHIOPIA, ERITEA, AND EGYPT?

    OKANGA BONIFACE LLB[LONDON] MBA [MANCOSA] LLM [UJ], DCJFI [UJ], D.COM [STUDYING] [UJ]

    Comment by OKANGA BONIFACE — October 9, 2010 @ 4:59 am


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