I fully suspect that this post will be met with a lot of resistance. However, this post is necessary at this time.
Egypt has stated for sometime that it will not have sufficient water from the Nile River in less than 6 years from now. The Current political situation in Egypt has caused this critical issues to move to the back of a long line of priorities as Egypt reforms its internal government and implements new-found democratic methods. But the situation concerning water s still important and others wishing to weaken Egypt are using this current transformation in Egypt as a means to further their own agendas.
For a moment I want to stop looking at foreign influence permeating the political situation in Egypt. That was addressed in a prior post and will be addressed again in future posts. What I want to do now is focus on the Water Crises facing Egypt.
Ethiopia has become arrogant and indifferent to others in its new-found popularity. The headquarters of the AU , the influx of money from China and other events has emboldened Ethiopia to focus more on self interests then to consider the effects of their actions on the region.
While I am not promoting the use of conventional warfare against Ethiopia I would support Egypt’s right to make preemptive attacks on the dams and other facilities that are taking water from the Nile river. This is the same argument that Israel and the USA use when attacking other countries that supposedly threaten their national interests. This course of action must always be on the table for Egypt. I am not suggesting that Egypt engage in Conventional warfare at this time. I am saying that Egypt would be justified in doing so in the future.
There are other kinds of warfare that should and must be used now. Egypt has already filed in the international Court for violations of its rights to stop this taking of water by up-stream countries.. but MORE needs to be done. Legal action is in of itself war. But trying to stop something that has already happened and is continuing and facilities being built even as you read this will not stop.
Economic warfare if the next phase of action that Egypt must engage in. Not just legal lawsuits in International Court but the involvement of the Full AU (African Union) as well as the UN (a resolution by the General Assembly), And the Demand that the World Bank take appropriate action against the offending Countries including China if what I am led to believe is accurate.
When pressure on Ethiopia diminished because of the revolution in Egypt, Ethiopia continued looking out for its own best interests.
The more water Ethiopia and other countries take from the tributaries to the Nile river the more the salt line from the Mediterranean sea pushes back into Egypt and the more contamination of drinking water and water for agricultural uses. It further lowers the height of the Nile and affects fishing, which is a main staple for diet and an economic contributor for small businesses. The costs in lives, livelihoods and the national Economy is already showing and will become critical even before Egypt can no longer sustain itself because of Ethiopia’s actions.
Egypt must not only take action.. it must take more and be extremely forceful in doing so for the lives of its citizens are at risk as it the future of Egypt.
There ARE solutions however.
Ms. Haidi Farouk was quoted and referenced last month on the historical belief that there are underground rivers that flow into Egypt from the South and the rain forests there. While interesting to note, it is not the solution as those rain forests are experiencing their own changes due to climate change. The probability of finding water, let alone a quantity of water sufficient to meet Egypt’s needs is very very low… BUT worth Exploring as they can be used for another solution that has been submitted to Egypt’s governing body more than 6 months ago (but is probably lost in the revolution changes) . Ms Farouk has diligently researched the past but not the ancient past that would offer more credible solutions There are many things I wish to discuss with Ms Farouk including this one if she ever contacts me.
This who want to depend on Desalinization plants are foolish as the COST of producing drinkable ware with the price of energy is too much for an Economy such as Egypt’s. Just to put that into perspective even in the USA there is concern over the actual cost to produce safe and clean water because of those energy costs. Can a person making 1 dollar a day (6 Egyptian Pounds) afford that water when those people are struggling to even feed their families….
The other problem is the lack of Funds. IF Egypt and Ethiopia want to avoid the real possibility of Conventional war then the projects intended to find alternative sources of potable and usable water MUST be born by those countries like Ethiopia who are and have been violating the existing Treaty on the uses of the Nile River water rights.
To simply say that the water originates in those countries shows not only ignorance of the way rivers flow and the need to keep them flowing but also the arrogance of total deprived indifference towards the lives of those downstream who have for centuries depended on the flow of that water. To take the water because it happens to flow through or originate from your country is the same as a child who has the soccer ball (futball) saying to the other children that he/she wants to change the rules of the game that have stood since the inception of the game only because that person has the ball at that time. As adults we call that being childish when children behave like that.. but as adults and where the state is NOT a game but human lives and human suffering I call that criminal behavior.
Egypt can not afford.. NOR should they be expected to pay for in the past, studies and development of options on replacing the water that is so desperately needed for its citizens. Hence an agreement on peace can be had by those countries who are violating the existing treaty PAY for these attempts to solve this looming crises of water.
The future of mankind will see that Water will be the major issues in war between countries. How those wars are fought will distinguish the integrity of the Countries involved. How the international Community helps resolve those issues before human lives are lost will define this century as what Humanity has become.
What if I told you I have a solution to this problem. That I can assure enough water for Egypt from the Nile River for the next 40-50 years. That if implements it will not only provide this water but will assure the livelihoods of those dependent on the Nile river and foster 10′s of THOUSANDS of jobs and new business opportunities for Egypt. A solution that will help Egypt economically and socially and PREVENT war in all forms.
What is a plan like that worth… and WHO should pay for it. The estimated cost is about 250 million US dollars. I say Ethiopia and the other countries who are illegally taking that water that Egypt is legally entitled to.
I must seem cold hearted to suggest that I make money from this work.. but this is how I make my living.. . I find solutions to problems that others have not. When Egypt is ready … I will be only too happy to work with whomever can make this project work for Egypt and the People of Egypt.